Friday, May 22, 2009

The Age of the Unthinkable

The Age of the Unthinkable
by Joshua Cooper Ramo

This book is deep. It talks about disorder in the world and why we constantly "get it wrong" when we attempt to change the state of our world.

Ramo sets the stage by citing several examples of world politics, wars, and even our most recent economic crisis. We should have seen these coming, but we didn't. Even in our deeply wired and connected environment, our leaders still make decisions based on the way things used to be, and not the way they are now. And even more important, not the way they will be!

After convincing us of the need for change, Ramo suggests three things necessary for Deep Security:
  1. Using pattern analysis and evaluating seemingly unrelated events, look for precursers. This is chaos theory in new clothes. Ramo gives us several examples of how individuals and organizations succeeded by noticing things. Like the fact that accelerometers from car air bags could be used for the WII entertainment system. This is often refered to as convergence or mashups.
  2. Be resilient. We cannot change the world to our liking. It didn't work in Vietnam and Iraq and it will not work in business either. We must accept the fact that "stuff happens" in sometimes chaotic and unrelated ways. We must have the ability to respond to the little things, like tunnels under the Egyptian border with Gaza.
  3. Act surgically. When we attempt to pound our way to success, we usually fail. Small changes, strategically placed, are the way to head off disaster. [I wonder if this might work for climate change?]
Ramo finishes by suggesting that the old world of command and control cannot work in today's world. People and communities must be empowered. He embraces many of the same values Jeff Jarvis highlights in What Would Google Do? As I read the last chapter, I though of the Triple Bottom Line: Profits, Planet, and People. This fits right in with the world movement toward Social Responsibility.

I plan to return the book to my library, but I may have to purchase my own copy. I need to read the book again for greater understanding.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Free Day in Dubrovnik

May 11, 2009

Breakfast is from 7-10, so I slept in. Then I dressed and went down to eat. Oh my, what a spread. Cold cuts and cheeses and fruits and breads and cereals and eggs and sausages and pork chops and dates and yogarts and teas and juices and coffees. What a wonderful way to start my day in Croatia.

After breakfast, I walked down to Cavtat to catch the No. 10 bus to Dubrovnik. He left about two minutes before I rounded the corner, so I waited 30 minutes for the next bus to come. I paid my 12 Kuna (about $2) and rode the bus to Dubrovnik. The road is quite high and narrow and curvy, with tremendous views of the coastline and the sea. A couple KM before the Dubrovnik station, the driver announced the stop for Old Town, where about half the passengers got off, including me. We walked down, down, down to the town on steep stairs. You could easly tell when you arrived at the main gate because of the crowds. Intense. Sure doesn't look like a worldwide recession here.

I wandered around inside the walled city. It was getting quite hot, so I stopped for a beer and rested. Then I walked around some more. About three hours later, I figured I had seen most of the town, so I walked out a different gate and up the hill to where I though the bus stop would be. Nope. So I waked some more. Then along came the No. 10 to Cavtat, heading down the hill. So I knew I was on the right street. I turned around and walked about four blocks and there was the bus stop. Of course I had to wait another 30 minutes before the next bus came along. This was just as school let out, so there was a mob of high school kids at the bus stop, along with all the tourists. The ride home was standing up, which was interesting. The bus was packed and the driver was taking this twisty road quite fast (I thought). As he made the curves, I could feel the bus leaning - sometimes out towards the edge of the road. There were times where the cliff was so steep that I could see no ground at the edge - only water out there. But we made it back to Cavtat just fine and on time.I took a short nap in my room, as I was very hot and had done a lot of walking. Then I went down to register for the conference tomorrow and get my badge. The printer broke, so we will receive our picture badges tomorrow morning.

Tonight is the speakers reception from 7-9 p.m. and the conference starts tomorrow. Today was an enjoyable day.

More photos on Picasa.
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Travel to Croatia

May 9-10, 2009

My friend, Dave Kildahl, took me to the Minneapolis airport mid-morning. I checked in and had lots of time before my flight, so I spent it in the Northwest lounge. I didn't know how much Internet access I would have (turns out lots!), so I read all my mail, sent some tweets, and got all caught up on RSS feeds.The flight to Amsterdam boarded at 2:30 and left on time. I was seating in coach, so it wasn't roomy. I had window seat, hoping to do some sightseeing over Canada and Europe, but it was cloudy for most of the way. We headed towards Thunder Bay, then north of Quebec City, then over Newfoundland, and out over the north Atlantic. Towards morning, we flew over northern Ireland, then northern England, before landing 15 minutes early in Amsterdam. Since I had four hours before my connecting flight, I let those in a hurry depart the airplane before me.

My next stop was the KLM exectutive lounge, since I had access through my Delta Crown Room (now Sky Club) membership. Ah, the perks of accumulating so many frequent flyer points. This was a very nice lounge. It was large, well lighted with comfortable seating, lots of power plugs, and quite quiet. In Amsterdam, you go to "Transfer Stations" to check into your connecting flight and get your boarding passes. But the agent next to the Croatia Air desk said, "They never come here, so jut go to the gate." Which I did. It was somewhat crowded, but I got my boarding passes to Zagreb and Dubrovnik, then went through the security scanner.

The flight from Amsterdam to Zagreb went right over Frankfurt and Munich, which were visible from the air. Then we flew over the Alps and decended into Zagreb. Took about 1.5 hours on an A320 airplane. They served a nice turkey sandwich lunch with Croatian wine. The airport in Zagreb wasn't much. Transportation to the terminal was by bus. This is where I went through passport control, with no questions. Just a stamp. Then I waited for the security screening station to open, prior to my next flight. When they say "boarding" over here, they mean the security check stations open. No long waiting at the boarding gate and very few seats. The flight to Dubrovnik was quick, also on an A320 airplane.

As we approached the Dubrovnik airport (actually some 30 KM south of Dubrovnik), we flew in low right over my hotel. It looked just like the images on Google Earth! Upon landing, I was met by a driver from the hotel. Along with six others, we rode to the hotel - 8 minutes. Check in was easy and the room was nice. It was about 3:30 p.m. local time and I tried to take a nap. Nope. So I walked down to the little town of Cavtat (KOF-tat) to check it out. The Hotel Croatia is actually in Caftat, not Dubrovnik. I got some $$ out of the bank machine and walked around the town. It is not big - about three square blocks all total. The day was very pleasant and the crowds were not bad. It looked like most were familys out for a Sunday afternoon stroll. Lots of baby carriages. Although I wasn't hungry hungry, I had a beer and Pizza al Mare, with shrimp, mussels, and anchoves. Yum. After a beautiful sunset over the Adriatic Sea, I walked back to the hotel. I went down to the lobby, logged onto the Internet, and read my mail and sent a Tweet. By 9 a.m. I was starting to fade, so sleep came fast. I had a restful night.

More photos on Picasa.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2009

Six Tips for Remote Presentations

Nancy Duarte, the Queen of Advisers to those giving TED Talks, recently posted some great tips on how to make a virtual presentation. With budgets and time and travel all decreasing, more of us are faced with giving presentations virtually. But we do not have the body language, facial expressions, and constant feedback of a face-to-face experience. Plus the methods vary, from WebEx to mobile phones to iPods. What's a girl or guy to do?

Nancy gives us six tips to think about. The total delivery takes about 30 minutes, broken up into half a dozen segments.

Monday, May 04, 2009

WWGD?

What Would Google Do?
by Jeff Jarvis

This book is one of the best explanations of current society. Written in late 2008 and released in early 2009, it discusses networking and communities - anywhere, anytime, and anyone. Jeff does a great job in guiding the reader through society's changes occuring everywhere and shows us what the next few years might hold. He uses Google as an example of an organization that understands our human need to connect and encourages us to do so. We benefit and so does Google.

Part 1 covers ten "Google Rules," including:
  1. New relationship. Give people control and we will use it. Turn your worst customer into your best friend. Partner with your best customers.
  2. New architecture. How links and tags change the way we access and use information. Do what you do best and link to the rest. Join a network, be a platform and always think distributed.
  3. New publicness. You must be searchable. Generate "Googlejuice". Let your customers market for you.
  4. New society. Communities already exist, but we (and they) do not always know it. Allow communities to form in an elegant manner.
  5. New economy. Small is big, nothing is scarce, and giving things away makes you rich.
  6. New business reality. Middlemen are unnecessary and free is a great business model.
  7. New attitude. Control and trust are opposites. Trust people. Listen to them, and they will support you.
  8. New ethics. Mistakes can no longer be hidden, so make them well. Be honest and transparent. Collaborate and do not be evil.
  9. New speed. Answers are now instantaneous. Life is live and mobs form in a flash.
  10. New imperatives. Beware of the cash cow. Encourage innovation. Simplify and then get out of the way.
Of the above, I found numbers 7 (attitude) and 8 (ethics) especially relevant. I now understand why the US White House is pushing transparency: we do not trust our government or our politicians. The only way to turn this around is to remove control, emphasize openness, and collaborate. No, they are not perfect. But they have come a long, long way in three months.

Part 2 of the book presents several ways the ten rules could be applied in different business sectors. Jeff discusses media, advertising, retail, utilities, manufacturing, service, finance, healthcare, education, and lawyers. He suggests that the lawyers are hopeless, because the whole legal model is based on secrecy and win-loose. As I read through these examples, I though about how they could apply to my little business of one.

I checked this book out of the public library and need to return it tomorrow. I intend to purchase a copy to keep.

Friday, May 01, 2009

Auditing for the Boss

Abstract

There are two basic evaluation methods for any work activity: inspection and audit. The inspection says what was. The audit says what will be. Both are needed.

When implementing an audit program, there are four fundamental principles to be considered. First, audits provide information about the future. Second, those performing the audit are capable of performing their duties. Third, audits measure performance against agreed criteria. Fourth, the conclusions of an audit are based on fact.

Through rigorous preparation, thorough examination, and serious analysis, your auditors can identify strengths and weaknesses. They must present results aimed at the three business drivers of cost, production, and risk.

Introduction

There are two basic evaluation methods for any work activity: inspection and audit. The first one, inspection, examines the output of a process to certain characteristics. These characteristics, generally classified as form, fit and function, have been specified and the item either possesses the characteristics or it does not. The result of an inspection is always binary: pass or fail. It states what was or what is.

The audit evolved in the twentieth century, as business practices became more complex. The first use of auditing appeared in financial transactions, as tax collectors and bank examiners needed assurance that the financial data were correct. This concept of verifying compliance was picked up by the quality profession in the 1960s and applied to military and nuclear power uses. Today, the audit is applied to all organizations, from manufacturing to health care to government and all the rest. Third-party registration audits, regulatory inspections, and most supplier audits measure compliance to existing requirements and if that compliance will continue. Internal audits should examine compliance as well as business cost, production and risk elements. They need to focus attention on business results.

Fundamental rules

When conducting an audit, there are certain basic rules that must be obeyed. First, audits provide information about the future. Second, those performing the audit are capable of performing their duties. Third, audits measure performance against agreed criteria. Fourth, the conclusions of an audit are based on fact.

Rule 1 - Serve your customers

Audits provide information. All affected parties need to know if product, process, and system controls are present and being applied. Sometimes there is also a desire to know if these controls actually work. Auditors evaluate actions against requirements and produce a report. If controls are present and working, confidence exists about the future. If controls are missing or not working, then resources must be applied to fix the problems.

Auditors serve three customers: the auditee, the audit boss, and the organization. All three are important. In addition to passing the audit, the auditee would like to know if their organization is functioning effectively. This outside perspective can be quite valuable. The audit boss is the person who commissions the audit. The audit boss is accountable for the auditors and their reports. Committees cannot generally perform this function. You need an audit boss to schedule the audits and make assignments. Finally, the auditors must serve the needs of the organization. Business values are important and the auditors can assist by determining if the enterprise is actually achieving its cost, production, and risk goals.

Rule 2 - Use qualified people

Auditors must be able to carry out their assignments in an impartial and objective fashion. This means that they cannot have a vested interest in the activity being audited. If they developed the rules, they cannot (impartially) evaluate the effectiveness and application of those same rules. Although the auditor can never be totally independent of the auditee, there must be a separation. It’s fine to audit within your own group, but you can’t audit your own job.

Auditors must also be capable of doing their job. They need certain skills in the emotional, intellectual, and mechanical areas. Your auditors should attend courses, read books, and observe others to obtain this knowledge of the audit process. In addition to knowing how to do an audit, an auditor must be familiar with the technical processes being examined. A good way to demonstrate this familiarity is to flowchart the activity to be audited. If auditors cannot flowchart it, they cannot audit it. Finally, the auditor needs to be able to communicate, both orally and in writing.

Rule 3 - Measure against agreed criteria

Auditors are not allowed to make up the rules! They must audit against standards of performance that are already in place and accepted by the auditee. This is the planning part of plan-do-check-act. Often, these requirements are classified in tiers or levels. The highest of these are corporate policies, management system standards, and regulatory requirements. Usually originating from outside the auditee’s organization, they are the goals and objectives to be achieved. National and international standards, such as TS 16949 and ISO 9001, fall in this highest category. Next come the local approaches for implementing these high level requirements. These are often called manuals. They give the framework for achieving the concepts and should be fairly compact. They are site-specific and address the local systems. Manuals are followed by a number of process-specific procedures. Further detail can be provided in specifications, such as drawings, assembly instructions, traveler sheets, and sampling plans. One of the challenges of an auditor is to obtain and become familiar with the many levels of requirements forming the basis for the audit.

Rule 4 - Use facts to form conclusions

Auditing is fact based. From the data, conclusions are drawn. Facts can be good (a requirement was met) or bad (a requirement was not met). There can be no judgment or opinion here. Also known as objective evidence, these facts can come from five sources. They can be physical properties, such as flow rates and dimensions. They can be sensory derived, from seeing, hearing, smelling, or tasting. They can be documents or records. They can come from interviews with auditee staff members. Finally, they can be patterns of these four types, such as percentages or ratios. Auditors use checklists and other tools to determine the facts to be gathered. Then they perform the fieldwork to gather these facts.

The audit report

The output of the audit process is a report. The audit boss receives the report from the auditor and delivers it to the auditee. In order to prepare a report, the auditor must take all of the good and bad facts and make some sense of the data. The auditor must analyze the data.

The first step is to list all of the good and bad facts. Then sort those data into piles by controls or problem areas. Generally, there will be a large number of bad facts associated with just a few control items. This natural chunking of the data allows the auditor to see the patterns, rather than the individual events. The auditor should then identify the pain associated with those piles of bad facts. It is important to identify pain in business terms, such as scrap, rework, and overtime. Then, the auditor combines the missing control and the business pain into one statement, called a finding. This takes the form of cause and effect, the two items that are necessary in a meaningful audit finding. Under the finding statement, all of the bad facts associated with the missing control are listed. A reasonable person, presented with those same bad facts, will draw the same conclusion. Because the business pain is identified, there will be a tremendous desire to do something about it. No one wants pain to continue. That is a basic human characteristic.

By associating the bad facts with their controls, the auditor is now at the system level of analysis. This has lasting value, because the system drives the processes, which produce the product (or service).

Conclusion

Audits measure actions to requirements. They examine the product, process, and system against standards of performance. This has value when the requirements have been thoroughly tested and scientifically proven. Rarely, is that the case. Most manuals, procedures and specifications are the result of a small number of individuals, putting some rules together with limited resources. They aren’t perfect. By looking at results, the audit can determine if those plans and approaches are any good. If not, there is a desire to make them good, because the developers and users can see the adverse consequences. The auditor is no longer a policeman, but is now a productive member of the organization. That is good.